22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The chance of a national double-dip recession is hotly debated amid an increasing number of signs that the economic recovery is losing pace, but the risk is particularly troublesome on a local level.

A new report from Moody's Economy.com singled out 22 cities that are at risk of slipping back into a recession in as early as three months. To come to this conclusion, the economists considered dwindling progress in employment, housing starts, home prices and industrial production. (See the map above for the full list.)

The at-risk cities are spread across the country, though more than half of the cities are in the South, and five are concentrated in the Midwest.

"With chances of a national double-dip recession now estimated at about one in four, several metro areas will probably experience their own downturns in the first half of 2011," said economist Andrew Gledhill, author of the report.

Private sector hiring has been tapering off in recent months compared to the start of the year, triggering Moody's to boost its forecast for a national double-dip from a 20% chance to 25% chance.

What's a double dip? No one really knows.
In the 22 identified metro areas, Gledhill said private sector hiring is particularly sluggish, increasing the chances of a slowdown.

Without a substantial pick-up in hiring, Gledhill said the number of cities in danger of a double-dip recession could grow, possibly reaching the triple-digits.

"There was a time when all 384 metro areas were in a recession. We probably won't get to that point again, but given the growing risk of another national recession, we're on the lookout for more metro areas that will be weakening substantially on several levels over the next six months to a year," Gledhill said.

He added that a handful of metro areas, particularly those that are industrial economies, are also suffering from a recent falloff in manufacturing.

By Hibah Yousuf CNNMoney.com August 18, 2010: 10:39 AM ET

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The chance of a national double-dip recession is hotly debated amid an increasing number of signs that the economic recovery is losing pace, but the risk is particularly troublesome on a local level.

A new report from Moody's Economy.com singled out 22 cities that are at risk of slipping back into a recession in as early as three months. To come to this conclusion, the economists considered dwindling progress in employment, housing starts, home prices and industrial production. (See the map above for the full list.)

The at-risk cities are spread across the country, though more than half of the cities are in the South, and five are concentrated in the Midwest.

"With chances of a national double-dip recession now estimated at about one in four, several metro areas will probably experience their own downturns in the first half of 2011," said economist Andrew Gledhill, author of the report.

Private sector hiring has been tapering off in recent months compared to the start of the year, triggering Moody's to boost its forecast for a national double-dip from a 20% chance to 25% chance.

What's a double dip? No one really knows.
In the 22 identified metro areas, Gledhill said private sector hiring is particularly sluggish, increasing the chances of a slowdown.

Without a substantial pick-up in hiring, Gledhill said the number of cities in danger of a double-dip recession could grow, possibly reaching the triple-digits.

"There was a time when all 384 metro areas were in a recession. We probably won't get to that point again, but given the growing risk of another national recession, we're on the lookout for more metro areas that will be weakening substantially on several levels over the next six months to a year," Gledhill said.

He added that a handful of metro areas, particularly those that are industrial economies, are also suffering from a recent falloff in manufacturing.

By Hibah Yousuf CNNMoney.com August 18, 2010: 10:39 AM ET

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The chance of a national double-dip recession is hotly debated amid an increasing number of signs that the economic recovery is losing pace, but the risk is particularly troublesome on a local level.

A new report from Moody's Economy.com singled out 22 cities that are at risk of slipping back into a recession in as early as three months. To come to this conclusion, the economists considered dwindling progress in employment, housing starts, home prices and industrial production. (See the map above for the full list.)

The at-risk cities are spread across the country, though more than half of the cities are in the South, and five are concentrated in the Midwest.

"With chances of a national double-dip recession now estimated at about one in four, several metro areas will probably experience their own downturns in the first half of 2011," said economist Andrew Gledhill, author of the report.

Private sector hiring has been tapering off in recent months compared to the start of the year, triggering Moody's to boost its forecast for a national double-dip from a 20% chance to 25% chance.

What's a double dip? No one really knows.
In the 22 identified metro areas, Gledhill said private sector hiring is particularly sluggish, increasing the chances of a slowdown.

Without a substantial pick-up in hiring, Gledhill said the number of cities in danger of a double-dip recession could grow, possibly reaching the triple-digits.

"There was a time when all 384 metro areas were in a recession. We probably won't get to that point again, but given the growing risk of another national recession, we're on the lookout for more metro areas that will be weakening substantially on several levels over the next six months to a year," Gledhill said.

He added that a handful of metro areas, particularly those that are industrial economies, are also suffering from a recent falloff in manufacturing.

By Hibah Yousuf CNNMoney.com August 18, 2010: 10:39 AM ET

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The chance of a national double-dip recession is hotly debated amid an increasing number of signs that the economic recovery is losing pace, but the risk is particularly troublesome on a local level.

A new report from Moody's Economy.com singled out 22 cities that are at risk of slipping back into a recession in as early as three months. To come to this conclusion, the economists considered dwindling progress in employment, housing starts, home prices and industrial production. (See the map above for the full list.)

The at-risk cities are spread across the country, though more than half of the cities are in the South, and five are concentrated in the Midwest.

"With chances of a national double-dip recession now estimated at about one in four, several metro areas will probably experience their own downturns in the first half of 2011," said economist Andrew Gledhill, author of the report.

Private sector hiring has been tapering off in recent months compared to the start of the year, triggering Moody's to boost its forecast for a national double-dip from a 20% chance to 25% chance.

What's a double dip? No one really knows.
In the 22 identified metro areas, Gledhill said private sector hiring is particularly sluggish, increasing the chances of a slowdown.

Without a substantial pick-up in hiring, Gledhill said the number of cities in danger of a double-dip recession could grow, possibly reaching the triple-digits.

"There was a time when all 384 metro areas were in a recession. We probably won't get to that point again, but given the growing risk of another national recession, we're on the lookout for more metro areas that will be weakening substantially on several levels over the next six months to a year," Gledhill said.

He added that a handful of metro areas, particularly those that are industrial economies, are also suffering from a recent falloff in manufacturing.

By Hibah Yousuf CNNMoney.com August 18, 2010: 10:39 AM ET

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The chance of a national double-dip recession is hotly debated amid an increasing number of signs that the economic recovery is losing pace, but the risk is particularly troublesome on a local level.

A new report from Moody's Economy.com singled out 22 cities that are at risk of slipping back into a recession in as early as three months. To come to this conclusion, the economists considered dwindling progress in employment, housing starts, home prices and industrial production. (See the map above for the full list.)

The at-risk cities are spread across the country, though more than half of the cities are in the South, and five are concentrated in the Midwest.

"With chances of a national double-dip recession now estimated at about one in four, several metro areas will probably experience their own downturns in the first half of 2011," said economist Andrew Gledhill, author of the report.

Private sector hiring has been tapering off in recent months compared to the start of the year, triggering Moody's to boost its forecast for a national double-dip from a 20% chance to 25% chance.

What's a double dip? No one really knows.
In the 22 identified metro areas, Gledhill said private sector hiring is particularly sluggish, increasing the chances of a slowdown.

Without a substantial pick-up in hiring, Gledhill said the number of cities in danger of a double-dip recession could grow, possibly reaching the triple-digits.

"There was a time when all 384 metro areas were in a recession. We probably won't get to that point again, but given the growing risk of another national recession, we're on the lookout for more metro areas that will be weakening substantially on several levels over the next six months to a year," Gledhill said.

He added that a handful of metro areas, particularly those that are industrial economies, are also suffering from a recent falloff in manufacturing.

By Hibah Yousuf CNNMoney.com August 18, 2010: 10:39 AM ET

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The chance of a national double-dip recession is hotly debated amid an increasing number of signs that the economic recovery is losing pace, but the risk is particularly troublesome on a local level.

A new report from Moody's Economy.com singled out 22 cities that are at risk of slipping back into a recession in as early as three months. To come to this conclusion, the economists considered dwindling progress in employment, housing starts, home prices and industrial production. (See the map above for the full list.)

The at-risk cities are spread across the country, though more than half of the cities are in the South, and five are concentrated in the Midwest.

"With chances of a national double-dip recession now estimated at about one in four, several metro areas will probably experience their own downturns in the first half of 2011," said economist Andrew Gledhill, author of the report.

Private sector hiring has been tapering off in recent months compared to the start of the year, triggering Moody's to boost its forecast for a national double-dip from a 20% chance to 25% chance.

What's a double dip? No one really knows.
In the 22 identified metro areas, Gledhill said private sector hiring is particularly sluggish, increasing the chances of a slowdown.

Without a substantial pick-up in hiring, Gledhill said the number of cities in danger of a double-dip recession could grow, possibly reaching the triple-digits.

"There was a time when all 384 metro areas were in a recession. We probably won't get to that point again, but given the growing risk of another national recession, we're on the lookout for more metro areas that will be weakening substantially on several levels over the next six months to a year," Gledhill said.

He added that a handful of metro areas, particularly those that are industrial economies, are also suffering from a recent falloff in manufacturing.

By Hibah Yousuf CNNMoney.com August 18, 2010: 10:39 AM ET

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- The chance of a national double-dip recession is hotly debated amid an increasing number of signs that the economic recovery is losing pace, but the risk is particularly troublesome on a local level.

A new report from Moody's Economy.com singled out 22 cities that are at risk of slipping back into a recession in as early as three months. To come to this conclusion, the economists considered dwindling progress in employment, housing starts, home prices and industrial production. (See the map above for the full list.)

The at-risk cities are spread across the country, though more than half of the cities are in the South, and five are concentrated in the Midwest.

"With chances of a national double-dip recession now estimated at about one in four, several metro areas will probably experience their own downturns in the first half of 2011," said economist Andrew Gledhill, author of the report.

Private sector hiring has been tapering off in recent months compared to the start of the year, triggering Moody's to boost its forecast for a national double-dip from a 20% chance to 25% chance.

What's a double dip? No one really knows.
In the 22 identified metro areas, Gledhill said private sector hiring is particularly sluggish, increasing the chances of a slowdown.

Without a substantial pick-up in hiring, Gledhill said the number of cities in danger of a double-dip recession could grow, possibly reaching the triple-digits.

"There was a time when all 384 metro areas were in a recession. We probably won't get to that point again, but given the growing risk of another national recession, we're on the lookout for more metro areas that will be weakening substantially on several levels over the next six months to a year," Gledhill said.

He added that a handful of metro areas, particularly those that are industrial economies, are also suffering from a recent falloff in manufacturing.

By Hibah Yousuf CNNMoney.com August 18, 2010: 10:39 AM ET

22 cities in danger of a double-dip recession - Aug. 17, 2010

Real estate pros carve own niche during recession

Phoenix Business Journal Jan Buchholz Friday, February 5, 2010

When the music stopped during the first several months of the recession, commercial real estate professionals across the board found themselves scrambling for the remaining jobs.

People with years of experience suddenly couldn’t find an open door.

Some went into business for themselves. Others set their sights on different aspects of the business that evolved out of the economic downturn. At the same time, recent college graduates discovered that a degree did not earn them auto­matic employment.

The Phoenix Business Journal talked with several commercial real estate people who have discovered how to survive and thrive in a different world.

Office condo bust

Ross Guttler was brokering office condos at Logan Commercial Advisors in 2006.

“The market was still really good then, but residential sales had slowed. I realized then that the office condo craze could not continue,” said Guttler, who now handles commercial acquisitions and dispositions for ROI Properties in Phoenix.

Phoenix is widely credited as being the birthplace of the office condo concept in the late 1990s and early 2000s, but its early success launched dozens of new projects. Eventually, the market was saturated. Add to that the economic downturn, and brokers specializing in that market segment were hit hard.

The connection between residential and office condos was obvious to Guttler. Buyers were financing their office condos with home equity loans. The residential market was retracting, prices were falling and office condo sales suffered as a result.

“I realized I couldn’t stay (at Logan) because we were branded as an office condo broker,” he said.

But while he was still there, Guttler took on some side deals working with banks that had taken back real estate as a result of loan defaults. That was 2008, which Guttler describes as “my worst year.”

Through a get-together sponsored by the Urban Land Institute’s Arizona Chapter, Guttler met up with Beth Jo Zeitzer, president of ROI, which specialized in bank-owned properties long before it was fashionable.

“She thought I’d be a good fit. I knew she already had a great platform set up,” Guttler said.

He started in June 2009, and he’s on track for the best year of his career.

Terri Tobey also specialized in office condos as senior vice president of marketing at Utaz Real Estate Corp. in Gilbert.

“Everything was going gangbusters when I started in September 2006,” she said. “A year into it, I realized we were having to get more aggressive. Then the banks stopped lending in 2008, and the party was over.”

Tobey left Utaz in April 2009 and was recruited by CB Richard Ellis for its health care team. A few months later, she left to start her own business, Arizona Development & Consulting Brokerage Service.

“I was too pigeonholed with all my contacts to just do health care. I tell people I specialize in whatever’s hot,” Tobey said.

Now she works seven days a week, and recently spent a day showing a developer from Utah around the Valley.

Adventures in retail

Marc Grayson and Summer Katzenbach were firmly entrenched in the retail development business with one of the Valley’s largest shopping center developers, Vestar Development Co. Grayson was a construction manager and Katzenbach was a marketing director.

Both were closely involved in one of Vestar’s premier projects, Tempe Marketplace, which opened in September 2007. Both were laid off in late 2008 when the economy cratered

Real estate pros carve own niche during recession

Phoenix Business Journal Jan Buchholz Friday, February 5, 2010

When the music stopped during the first several months of the recession, commercial real estate professionals across the board found themselves scrambling for the remaining jobs.

People with years of experience suddenly couldn’t find an open door.

Some went into business for themselves. Others set their sights on different aspects of the business that evolved out of the economic downturn. At the same time, recent college graduates discovered that a degree did not earn them auto­matic employment.

The Phoenix Business Journal talked with several commercial real estate people who have discovered how to survive and thrive in a different world.

Office condo bust

Ross Guttler was brokering office condos at Logan Commercial Advisors in 2006.

“The market was still really good then, but residential sales had slowed. I realized then that the office condo craze could not continue,” said Guttler, who now handles commercial acquisitions and dispositions for ROI Properties in Phoenix.

Phoenix is widely credited as being the birthplace of the office condo concept in the late 1990s and early 2000s, but its early success launched dozens of new projects. Eventually, the market was saturated. Add to that the economic downturn, and brokers specializing in that market segment were hit hard.

The connection between residential and office condos was obvious to Guttler. Buyers were financing their office condos with home equity loans. The residential market was retracting, prices were falling and office condo sales suffered as a result.

“I realized I couldn’t stay (at Logan) because we were branded as an office condo broker,” he said.

But while he was still there, Guttler took on some side deals working with banks that had taken back real estate as a result of loan defaults. That was 2008, which Guttler describes as “my worst year.”

Through a get-together sponsored by the Urban Land Institute’s Arizona Chapter, Guttler met up with Beth Jo Zeitzer, president of ROI, which specialized in bank-owned properties long before it was fashionable.

“She thought I’d be a good fit. I knew she already had a great platform set up,” Guttler said.

He started in June 2009, and he’s on track for the best year of his career.

Terri Tobey also specialized in office condos as senior vice president of marketing at Utaz Real Estate Corp. in Gilbert.

“Everything was going gangbusters when I started in September 2006,” she said. “A year into it, I realized we were having to get more aggressive. Then the banks stopped lending in 2008, and the party was over.”

Tobey left Utaz in April 2009 and was recruited by CB Richard Ellis for its health care team. A few months later, she left to start her own business, Arizona Development & Consulting Brokerage Service.

“I was too pigeonholed with all my contacts to just do health care. I tell people I specialize in whatever’s hot,” Tobey said.

Now she works seven days a week, and recently spent a day showing a developer from Utah around the Valley.

Adventures in retail

Marc Grayson and Summer Katzenbach were firmly entrenched in the retail development business with one of the Valley’s largest shopping center developers, Vestar Development Co. Grayson was a construction manager and Katzenbach was a marketing director.

Both were closely involved in one of Vestar’s premier projects, Tempe Marketplace, which opened in September 2007. Both were laid off in late 2008 when the economy cratered

Real estate pros carve own niche during recession

Phoenix Business Journal Jan Buchholz Friday, February 5, 2010

When the music stopped during the first several months of the recession, commercial real estate professionals across the board found themselves scrambling for the remaining jobs.

People with years of experience suddenly couldn’t find an open door.

Some went into business for themselves. Others set their sights on different aspects of the business that evolved out of the economic downturn. At the same time, recent college graduates discovered that a degree did not earn them auto­matic employment.

The Phoenix Business Journal talked with several commercial real estate people who have discovered how to survive and thrive in a different world.

Office condo bust

Ross Guttler was brokering office condos at Logan Commercial Advisors in 2006.

“The market was still really good then, but residential sales had slowed. I realized then that the office condo craze could not continue,” said Guttler, who now handles commercial acquisitions and dispositions for ROI Properties in Phoenix.

Phoenix is widely credited as being the birthplace of the office condo concept in the late 1990s and early 2000s, but its early success launched dozens of new projects. Eventually, the market was saturated. Add to that the economic downturn, and brokers specializing in that market segment were hit hard.

The connection between residential and office condos was obvious to Guttler. Buyers were financing their office condos with home equity loans. The residential market was retracting, prices were falling and office condo sales suffered as a result.

“I realized I couldn’t stay (at Logan) because we were branded as an office condo broker,” he said.

But while he was still there, Guttler took on some side deals working with banks that had taken back real estate as a result of loan defaults. That was 2008, which Guttler describes as “my worst year.”

Through a get-together sponsored by the Urban Land Institute’s Arizona Chapter, Guttler met up with Beth Jo Zeitzer, president of ROI, which specialized in bank-owned properties long before it was fashionable.

“She thought I’d be a good fit. I knew she already had a great platform set up,” Guttler said.

He started in June 2009, and he’s on track for the best year of his career.

Terri Tobey also specialized in office condos as senior vice president of marketing at Utaz Real Estate Corp. in Gilbert.

“Everything was going gangbusters when I started in September 2006,” she said. “A year into it, I realized we were having to get more aggressive. Then the banks stopped lending in 2008, and the party was over.”

Tobey left Utaz in April 2009 and was recruited by CB Richard Ellis for its health care team. A few months later, she left to start her own business, Arizona Development & Consulting Brokerage Service.

“I was too pigeonholed with all my contacts to just do health care. I tell people I specialize in whatever’s hot,” Tobey said.

Now she works seven days a week, and recently spent a day showing a developer from Utah around the Valley.

Adventures in retail

Marc Grayson and Summer Katzenbach were firmly entrenched in the retail development business with one of the Valley’s largest shopping center developers, Vestar Development Co. Grayson was a construction manager and Katzenbach was a marketing director.

Both were closely involved in one of Vestar’s premier projects, Tempe Marketplace, which opened in September 2007. Both were laid off in late 2008 when the economy cratered

Real estate pros carve own niche during recession

Phoenix Business Journal Jan Buchholz Friday, February 5, 2010

When the music stopped during the first several months of the recession, commercial real estate professionals across the board found themselves scrambling for the remaining jobs.

People with years of experience suddenly couldn’t find an open door.

Some went into business for themselves. Others set their sights on different aspects of the business that evolved out of the economic downturn. At the same time, recent college graduates discovered that a degree did not earn them auto­matic employment.

The Phoenix Business Journal talked with several commercial real estate people who have discovered how to survive and thrive in a different world.

Office condo bust

Ross Guttler was brokering office condos at Logan Commercial Advisors in 2006.

“The market was still really good then, but residential sales had slowed. I realized then that the office condo craze could not continue,” said Guttler, who now handles commercial acquisitions and dispositions for ROI Properties in Phoenix.

Phoenix is widely credited as being the birthplace of the office condo concept in the late 1990s and early 2000s, but its early success launched dozens of new projects. Eventually, the market was saturated. Add to that the economic downturn, and brokers specializing in that market segment were hit hard.

The connection between residential and office condos was obvious to Guttler. Buyers were financing their office condos with home equity loans. The residential market was retracting, prices were falling and office condo sales suffered as a result.

“I realized I couldn’t stay (at Logan) because we were branded as an office condo broker,” he said.

But while he was still there, Guttler took on some side deals working with banks that had taken back real estate as a result of loan defaults. That was 2008, which Guttler describes as “my worst year.”

Through a get-together sponsored by the Urban Land Institute’s Arizona Chapter, Guttler met up with Beth Jo Zeitzer, president of ROI, which specialized in bank-owned properties long before it was fashionable.

“She thought I’d be a good fit. I knew she already had a great platform set up,” Guttler said.

He started in June 2009, and he’s on track for the best year of his career.

Terri Tobey also specialized in office condos as senior vice president of marketing at Utaz Real Estate Corp. in Gilbert.

“Everything was going gangbusters when I started in September 2006,” she said. “A year into it, I realized we were having to get more aggressive. Then the banks stopped lending in 2008, and the party was over.”

Tobey left Utaz in April 2009 and was recruited by CB Richard Ellis for its health care team. A few months later, she left to start her own business, Arizona Development & Consulting Brokerage Service.

“I was too pigeonholed with all my contacts to just do health care. I tell people I specialize in whatever’s hot,” Tobey said.

Now she works seven days a week, and recently spent a day showing a developer from Utah around the Valley.

Adventures in retail

Marc Grayson and Summer Katzenbach were firmly entrenched in the retail development business with one of the Valley’s largest shopping center developers, Vestar Development Co. Grayson was a construction manager and Katzenbach was a marketing director.

Both were closely involved in one of Vestar’s premier projects, Tempe Marketplace, which opened in September 2007. Both were laid off in late 2008 when the economy cratered

Real estate pros carve own niche during recession

Phoenix Business Journal Jan Buchholz Friday, February 5, 2010

When the music stopped during the first several months of the recession, commercial real estate professionals across the board found themselves scrambling for the remaining jobs.

People with years of experience suddenly couldn’t find an open door.

Some went into business for themselves. Others set their sights on different aspects of the business that evolved out of the economic downturn. At the same time, recent college graduates discovered that a degree did not earn them auto­matic employment.

The Phoenix Business Journal talked with several commercial real estate people who have discovered how to survive and thrive in a different world.

Office condo bust

Ross Guttler was brokering office condos at Logan Commercial Advisors in 2006.

“The market was still really good then, but residential sales had slowed. I realized then that the office condo craze could not continue,” said Guttler, who now handles commercial acquisitions and dispositions for ROI Properties in Phoenix.

Phoenix is widely credited as being the birthplace of the office condo concept in the late 1990s and early 2000s, but its early success launched dozens of new projects. Eventually, the market was saturated. Add to that the economic downturn, and brokers specializing in that market segment were hit hard.

The connection between residential and office condos was obvious to Guttler. Buyers were financing their office condos with home equity loans. The residential market was retracting, prices were falling and office condo sales suffered as a result.

“I realized I couldn’t stay (at Logan) because we were branded as an office condo broker,” he said.

But while he was still there, Guttler took on some side deals working with banks that had taken back real estate as a result of loan defaults. That was 2008, which Guttler describes as “my worst year.”

Through a get-together sponsored by the Urban Land Institute’s Arizona Chapter, Guttler met up with Beth Jo Zeitzer, president of ROI, which specialized in bank-owned properties long before it was fashionable.

“She thought I’d be a good fit. I knew she already had a great platform set up,” Guttler said.

He started in June 2009, and he’s on track for the best year of his career.

Terri Tobey also specialized in office condos as senior vice president of marketing at Utaz Real Estate Corp. in Gilbert.

“Everything was going gangbusters when I started in September 2006,” she said. “A year into it, I realized we were having to get more aggressive. Then the banks stopped lending in 2008, and the party was over.”

Tobey left Utaz in April 2009 and was recruited by CB Richard Ellis for its health care team. A few months later, she left to start her own business, Arizona Development & Consulting Brokerage Service.

“I was too pigeonholed with all my contacts to just do health care. I tell people I specialize in whatever’s hot,” Tobey said.

Now she works seven days a week, and recently spent a day showing a developer from Utah around the Valley.

Adventures in retail

Marc Grayson and Summer Katzenbach were firmly entrenched in the retail development business with one of the Valley’s largest shopping center developers, Vestar Development Co. Grayson was a construction manager and Katzenbach was a marketing director.

Both were closely involved in one of Vestar’s premier projects, Tempe Marketplace, which opened in September 2007. Both were laid off in late 2008 when the economy cratered

Real estate pros carve own niche during recession

Phoenix Business Journal Jan Buchholz Friday, February 5, 2010

When the music stopped during the first several months of the recession, commercial real estate professionals across the board found themselves scrambling for the remaining jobs.

People with years of experience suddenly couldn’t find an open door.

Some went into business for themselves. Others set their sights on different aspects of the business that evolved out of the economic downturn. At the same time, recent college graduates discovered that a degree did not earn them auto­matic employment.

The Phoenix Business Journal talked with several commercial real estate people who have discovered how to survive and thrive in a different world.

Office condo bust

Ross Guttler was brokering office condos at Logan Commercial Advisors in 2006.

“The market was still really good then, but residential sales had slowed. I realized then that the office condo craze could not continue,” said Guttler, who now handles commercial acquisitions and dispositions for ROI Properties in Phoenix.

Phoenix is widely credited as being the birthplace of the office condo concept in the late 1990s and early 2000s, but its early success launched dozens of new projects. Eventually, the market was saturated. Add to that the economic downturn, and brokers specializing in that market segment were hit hard.

The connection between residential and office condos was obvious to Guttler. Buyers were financing their office condos with home equity loans. The residential market was retracting, prices were falling and office condo sales suffered as a result.

“I realized I couldn’t stay (at Logan) because we were branded as an office condo broker,” he said.

But while he was still there, Guttler took on some side deals working with banks that had taken back real estate as a result of loan defaults. That was 2008, which Guttler describes as “my worst year.”

Through a get-together sponsored by the Urban Land Institute’s Arizona Chapter, Guttler met up with Beth Jo Zeitzer, president of ROI, which specialized in bank-owned properties long before it was fashionable.

“She thought I’d be a good fit. I knew she already had a great platform set up,” Guttler said.

He started in June 2009, and he’s on track for the best year of his career.

Terri Tobey also specialized in office condos as senior vice president of marketing at Utaz Real Estate Corp. in Gilbert.

“Everything was going gangbusters when I started in September 2006,” she said. “A year into it, I realized we were having to get more aggressive. Then the banks stopped lending in 2008, and the party was over.”

Tobey left Utaz in April 2009 and was recruited by CB Richard Ellis for its health care team. A few months later, she left to start her own business, Arizona Development & Consulting Brokerage Service.

“I was too pigeonholed with all my contacts to just do health care. I tell people I specialize in whatever’s hot,” Tobey said.

Now she works seven days a week, and recently spent a day showing a developer from Utah around the Valley.

Adventures in retail

Marc Grayson and Summer Katzenbach were firmly entrenched in the retail development business with one of the Valley’s largest shopping center developers, Vestar Development Co. Grayson was a construction manager and Katzenbach was a marketing director.

Both were closely involved in one of Vestar’s premier projects, Tempe Marketplace, which opened in September 2007. Both were laid off in late 2008 when the economy cratered

Real estate pros carve own niche during recession

Phoenix Business Journal Jan Buchholz Friday, February 5, 2010

When the music stopped during the first several months of the recession, commercial real estate professionals across the board found themselves scrambling for the remaining jobs.

People with years of experience suddenly couldn’t find an open door.

Some went into business for themselves. Others set their sights on different aspects of the business that evolved out of the economic downturn. At the same time, recent college graduates discovered that a degree did not earn them auto­matic employment.

The Phoenix Business Journal talked with several commercial real estate people who have discovered how to survive and thrive in a different world.

Office condo bust

Ross Guttler was brokering office condos at Logan Commercial Advisors in 2006.

“The market was still really good then, but residential sales had slowed. I realized then that the office condo craze could not continue,” said Guttler, who now handles commercial acquisitions and dispositions for ROI Properties in Phoenix.

Phoenix is widely credited as being the birthplace of the office condo concept in the late 1990s and early 2000s, but its early success launched dozens of new projects. Eventually, the market was saturated. Add to that the economic downturn, and brokers specializing in that market segment were hit hard.

The connection between residential and office condos was obvious to Guttler. Buyers were financing their office condos with home equity loans. The residential market was retracting, prices were falling and office condo sales suffered as a result.

“I realized I couldn’t stay (at Logan) because we were branded as an office condo broker,” he said.

But while he was still there, Guttler took on some side deals working with banks that had taken back real estate as a result of loan defaults. That was 2008, which Guttler describes as “my worst year.”

Through a get-together sponsored by the Urban Land Institute’s Arizona Chapter, Guttler met up with Beth Jo Zeitzer, president of ROI, which specialized in bank-owned properties long before it was fashionable.

“She thought I’d be a good fit. I knew she already had a great platform set up,” Guttler said.

He started in June 2009, and he’s on track for the best year of his career.

Terri Tobey also specialized in office condos as senior vice president of marketing at Utaz Real Estate Corp. in Gilbert.

“Everything was going gangbusters when I started in September 2006,” she said. “A year into it, I realized we were having to get more aggressive. Then the banks stopped lending in 2008, and the party was over.”

Tobey left Utaz in April 2009 and was recruited by CB Richard Ellis for its health care team. A few months later, she left to start her own business, Arizona Development & Consulting Brokerage Service.

“I was too pigeonholed with all my contacts to just do health care. I tell people I specialize in whatever’s hot,” Tobey said.

Now she works seven days a week, and recently spent a day showing a developer from Utah around the Valley.

Adventures in retail

Marc Grayson and Summer Katzenbach were firmly entrenched in the retail development business with one of the Valley’s largest shopping center developers, Vestar Development Co. Grayson was a construction manager and Katzenbach was a marketing director.

Both were closely involved in one of Vestar’s premier projects, Tempe Marketplace, which opened in September 2007. Both were laid off in late 2008 when the economy cratered